BACK THE DOG

IMPORTANT : YOU CANNOT FOLLOW THIS STRATEGY AND TRIPLE THREAT SIMOULTANEOUSLY AS THE PICKS WILL CLASH.

WHEN YOU JOIN, YOU WILL BE SENT BACK THE DOG TIPS BY DEFAULT.

IF YOU WISH TO FOLLOW TRIPLE THREAT, PLEASE LET ME KNOW. USE THE CONTACT FORM AT https://patrickross.tennis/contact/)

PICKS FOR TRIPLE THREAT WILL THEN BE SENT TO YOUR EMAIL AND BACK THE DOG WILL BE CANCELLED.

THIS STRATEGY CAN BE USED ON BOOKIES OR EXCHANGES. EXCHANGES WILL GIVE BETTER PRICES, BUT ALWAYS KNOW THE COMMISSION PERCENTAGE AND FACTOR IT INTO YOUR CALCULATIONS.

Picks for this strategy automated, and are sent out by email, and brief instructions are also contained within the emails. All picks have a link to Betfair Exchange, but you can use other exchanges or bookies if you prefer.

This strategy, as the name suggests, is all about backing the underdog, the outsider, the less fancied, if you will. In this article we will refer to this lesser tennis player as The Dog – this wretched thing that tries to oppose their great master on the other side of the court – the favourite!

As we know in tennis, the mighty favourite will win less often than predicted, and frustratingly so. This is why straight betting on tennis often ends in failure. 

And that is where Back The Dog can be so profitable – let’s look at an example from WTA Miami 2024.

The server sent out the following alert:

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Akexandrova was The Dog in this match at 2.64 odds, so we will be backing her. 

However, we do not stake 1 point or 2 points like a normal backing system. We place a bet that will win one point or two points.

Here is how that works using Matchbook to place the bet, which can be repeated on any bookie or other exchange:

 
 
 
 

FLAT STAKING

The starting bank for this method is 50 points, and I recommend you aim for 1 point profit per trade. In the example above you can see that I have not bet one point – I adjusted my stake size so that my profit will be one point.

I have staked £6.10 to win £10.

Why stake this way?

This allows users to start using a smaller bank, and allows for smaller losses in case we lose a few in a row.

If you have a larger bank you can stake £12.20 to win £20, and so on.

 

PROGRESSIVE COMPOUND STAKING

With this method, we are constantly trying to increase our stake size as our bank grows. We never decrease our stake, just increase. Example start bank 50 points (recommended). Bank size £500 so one point = £10.

Bet one: win £10, bank now £510, therefore new stake is £510/50 = £10.20

£10.20 is now our new stake and we never bet below this amount. If our next two bets lose and out bank is now £495, we DO NOT DECREASE OUR STAKE.

We keep using the £10.2 stake until our bank goes above £510 and increase our stake accordingly. 

This is why it’s called progressive. 

ADVICE:

Try to win just €£1 for your first 50 bets. We all know the feeling of trying a new system that goes wrong! By using micro stakes, you can avoid the disappointment of this potentially happening. I know this system works! I don’t want you to give up on it after a short space of time so using micro stakes will mean you stay focused on the task and see the results over a week or a month and not just one day. This system will be good for years to come so don’t judge it in a day.

As we can see, this tip was successful and £10 profit made:

 
 
 

This strategy is one of the simpler ones – easy to execute and follow. Back The Dog needs no knowledge, no special software and can be used on any bookie of exchange.

The system will work better if you have access to better odds on Exchanges and low commission rates. 

Currently, I am on 2% commission on Betfair and have 0% on Matchbook. I get 0% on matchbook because I am a Premium member of Oddsmonkey Matched Betting Service

If you struggle to get accounts, I would advise that you check out accounts with services like BetInAsia who will give you access to bookies like Pinnacle Sports who are renowned for great odds on tennis. I have members from Germany and other countries who struggle to open Exchange and bookie accounts in their own countries but use brokers like Bet In Asia to get their bets on and use my services successfully. 

SUMMING UP

-50 point bank required

-All picks sent by email

-Place a bet on the underdog for one point profit. Adjust stake as necessary to ensure one point profit

-Flat staking plan – all bets should be for one point profit

-Progressive Compound Staking – all bets are for one point but increase stake as your bank increases

-Place bets on the exchanges if you have them. The plan will also work with bookies if exchange accounts are not available to you.

Good luck,

Patrick.