The draw for Wimbledon took place on Friday 28th June. 

The draw is divided into 4 quarters and the winner of each quarter will be an eventual semi-finalist. But who ended up in which quarter and what is their predicted path to the final?

Let’s take a look at the Men’s first:


There are 32 seeded players in the competition, so there are 8 in each quarter.

Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev are the 2 top seeds in the first quarter, and are joined by Grigor Dimitrov (10), Ben Shelton (14), Nicolas Jarry (19), Adrian Mannarino (22), Tallon Griekspoor (27) and Zhang Zhizhen (32). 

The path to the final for Sinner will begin against Yannick Hanfmann on Monday. Hanfmann has a few good results this year but should be no match for the Italian. Sinner’s second round opponent will likely be fellow Italian Matteo Berrettini. Berrettini is a former Wimbledon finalist and is in good form. However, given Sinner’s form on grass already this year, he should be up to the challenge. 

Sinner’s most likely opponents in the quarter finals will be Daniil Medvedev,  Ben Shelton or Grigor Dimitrov. Medvedev, who has been inconsistent this season, is always a dangerous opponent. He will start his campaign the American Kovacevic and likely meet Alexandre Muller in the second round. A clash between Medvedev and Dimitrov is possible and the winner will likely meet Sinner in the quarter final. Expect Sinner to emerge victorious no matter who his opponent is in this quarter.


Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud are the top seeds in the second quarter. They are joined by Tommy Paul (12), Ugo Humbert (16), Sebastian Baez (18), Alexander Bublik (23), Frances Tiafoe (29) and Mariano  Navone (31).

If Alcaraz is fit, and there’s no indication otherwise, his path to the fourth round is as easy as it gets. He will start against qualifier Lajal of Estonia, then Ofner or Vukic and on to Tiafoe who hasn’t been himself this year. The fourth round is where he will meet his first real challenge where Humbert, Baez or the in form Australian Jordan Thompson could be a surprise opponent. 

Casper Ruud is the top seed on the other side of this quarter but I won’t be backing him to get too far. If  all goes to form, Ruud will run into Tommy Paul in the last 16. Paul recently won the title in Queens and will likely to be too strong.  A likely quarter final between Paul and Alcaraz awaits. Paul has beaten Alcaraz in the past but over 5 sets on grass, Alcaraz will be the big favourite. 


This quarter looks the most competitive of the four. The top seeds are Alexander Zverev (4) and Andrey Rublev (6). The other 6 seeds in this quarter are Stefanos Tsitsipas (11), Taylor Fritz (13), Sebastian Korda (20), Alejandro Tabilo (24), Lorenzo Musetti (25) and Jack Draper (28).

Zverev begins against Carballes Baena, before likely meeting Giron, both winnable for the German. Jack Draper, who recently defeated Berrettini to win the title in Stuttgart will be confident and have home support, will possibly meet Zverev in the 3rd round. This match will be an indicator of how well the German is playing. 

The winner of Draper/Zverev is on a collision course with big American Taylor Swift Fritz, excuse me, ahem. Fritz is currently in Eastbourne where he’s in the final against Max Purcell today. He’s tipped to win there and will carry plenty of momentum and form into Wimbledon.

Andrey Rublev will begin his quest against unseeded Comesana of Argentina before meeting Coria or Walton. His first test will be Musetti in the third round, where I can see an upset happening. The winner of that clash will likely meet Tsitsipas to decide who meets Fritz. It’s a tough call but I’ll go with Fritz in the third quarter.


Novak Djokovic and Hubert Hurkacz are the top seeds in this quarter. They are joined by Alex De Minaur (9), Holger Rune (15), Felix Auger-Aliassime (17), Karen Khachanov (21), Francisco Cerundolo (26) and Tomas Martin Etcheverry (30). 

Many expected Djokovic to withdraw (it’s still possible) but he’s in the draw alongside fellow veteran Andy Murray. 

Djokovic will start against qualifier Kopriva before meeting Brit Jacob Fearnley or Spaniard Alejandro Moro Canas. Both matches should be straightforward for the Serbian if he’s fit, but then he could meet Etcheverry or Popyrin. Normally, these would be simple for the 7 time champ, but these are not normal times. Djokovic was made to work extremely hard in the French Open by players he should brush aside. 

Hubert Hurkacz will be the main man on the other side of Djokovic quarter. He will start out against Radu Albot and will not meet much resistance until he meets De Minaur in the last 16.

I will go with Hurkacz in this quarter. 

Overall, I see Sinner, Alcaraz, Fritz and Hurkacz in the quarters. 

Sinner v Fritz in the final – Sinner wins in 4 sets.

You  can have a look at the odds on the Betfair Exchange here

If you’re looking for decent value, take a look at Fritz and Hurkacz. Fritz is currently trading at 75 and Hurkacz at 21. If Berrettini can spring an early upset, I see value in his odds of 85.


Iga Swiatek heads the field in the first quarter. She hasn’t played on grass this season so it’s hard to gauge form. Swiatek’s record at Wimbledon is comparitevely terribe, given she’s never reached the semi finals here. Swiatek has potential clashes with Siniakova and Ostapenko to face, both of whom will be confident of beating the World No. 1 on grass. I don’t see Swiatek surviving to the quarter final this year.

Last year’s winner Marketa Vondrousova, seeded number 6, is also in this quarter, has a relatively straightforward path to the 3 round where she could meet Kudermetova or Krejcikova before a last 16 potential opponent of Danielle Collins. This quarter is very open but I’ll have an outside bet on Siniakova to win the quarter. 


2022 Champion Elena Rybakina will begin her crusade against Elena Gabrielle Ruse before Laura Siegemund in the second round and Leyla Fernendez in the 3rd round. Fernandez has found her feet on the grass this year and id due to play the final in Eastbourne against Kasatkina this afternoon. Samsonova and Kalinskaya are also possible opponents so if Rybakina wants a repeat of 2022, she will need to work hard from day 1. Potential opponents for Rybakina in the quarter finals are the in-form pair of Katie Boulter and Jessica Pegula, and it would be no surprise to see Ons Jabeur make a deep run. 


Sabalenka is the biggest name in the 3rd quarter and she seems to have gotten pretty lucky with her draw. She has a potential banana skin against Vekic in the second round but if she overcomes that obstacle, her path to the quarter final is manageable to say the least. Mirra Andreeva, who beat an under-performing Sabalenka earlier this year could be a fourth round opponent but I don’t see a repeat if Sabalenka is fully fit. 


Coco Gauf is seeded 2 and will be the favourite in this quarter. I don’t share this confidence as I don’t trust her forehand the way I did a year ago and I think it could be exposed on the fast conditions. Gauff will be fine until the 4th round where she’s likely to meet Shnaider, Azarenka, Stephens or Osaka. It won’t get easier after that as clashes with Paolini or Madison keys could provide very tough opponents. 

Have a look at the odds on the Betfair Exchange Here

I will avoid Gauff and Swiatek. 

Keys (28) and Pegula (29) look decent value.

I went with Paolini in Eastbourne where she made the semi finals – her odds went from 11 to 4 during her run. She will make a deep run. 

Sabalenka is the bet for me – her draw is favourable and she has all the attributes and form to win it. Back Sabalenka at 4.7 on the exchange.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *